BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Davenport Assumption

Class: 3A Class Rank: 17 Conference: (10-6) Overall: (12-10) Overall Strength =   69.37

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/06/2003 Away    W    95.99  61   46   3A    4 (15- 9) Dubuque Wahlert        26.62    -11.62                      
  2 12/12/2003 Away    W *  66.19  36   34   4A   41 ( 5-17) Burlington             -3.18      5.18                      
  3 12/13/2003 Home    W    69.37  50   38   EX   38 ( 0- 1) Orion IL                0.00     12.00                      
  4 12/16/2003 Home    W *  63.10  42   37   4A   44 ( 4-19) Davenport North        -6.27     11.27                      
  5 12/19/2003 Away    L *  72.53  45   53   4A   14 (21- 5) Bettendorf              3.16    -11.16                      
  6 12/20/2003 Neutral L    56.78  42   51   EX   30 ( 1- 2) Geneseo IL            -12.59      3.59                      
  7 01/03/2004 Home    L    65.39  57   66   4A   17 (12-11) Iowa City West         -3.98     -5.02                      
  8 01/06/2004 Away    L *  62.81  58   73   4A   19 (16- 6) Clinton                -6.56     -8.44                      
  9 01/09/2004 Away    L *  46.08  38   52   4A   46 ( 5-17) Muscatine             -23.29      9.29                      
 10 01/10/2004 Away    L    60.95  34   47   4A   29 ( 9-13) Iowa City High         -8.42     -4.58                      
 11 01/13/2004 Home    L *  57.12  32   46   4A   26 (16- 6) Pleasant Valley       -12.25     -1.75                      
 12 01/16/2004 Home    L *  66.05  58   72   4A    6 (19- 3) Eldridge North Scott   -3.32    -10.68                      
 13 01/23/2004 Home    W *  76.04  65   48   4A   43 ( 6-17) Davenport West          6.67     10.33                      
 14 01/27/2004 Away    W *  79.28  67   60   4A   31 ( 9-14) Davenport Central       9.91     -2.91                      
 15 01/30/2004 Home    W *  63.27  38   35   4A   41 ( 5-17) Burlington             -6.10      9.10                      
 16 02/06/2004 Away    W *  67.02  47   42   4A   44 ( 4-19) Davenport North        -2.35      7.35                      
 17 02/10/2004 Home    W *  77.61  63   62   4A   14 (21- 5) Bettendorf              8.24     -7.24                      
 18 02/13/2004 Home    W *  79.89  57   51   4A   19 (16- 6) Clinton                10.52     -4.52                      
 19 02/17/2004 Home    W *  74.16  64   46   4A   46 ( 5-17) Muscatine               4.79     13.21                      
 20 02/20/2004 Away    W *  84.04  54   45   4A   26 (16- 6) Pleasant Valley        14.68     -5.68                      
 21 02/27/2004 Away    L *  78.97  68   73   4A    6 (19- 3) Eldridge North Scott    9.60    -14.60                      
 22 03/01/2004 Away    L    63.51  49   60   3A    8 (19- 5) Central Clinton        -5.86     -5.14                      
      Averages              69.37  51.1 51.7

Best game:   95.99 = 15 point win over Dubuque Wahlert
Worst game:  46.08 = 14 point loss to Muscatine
Team stdev:  10.89